Composing today’s reading — market odds, official travel advisories and attention signals are loading…
Official travel advisories
Each government judges risk for its own citizens, on its own scale. Change is the signal — dates are each government's last update to its own advice page (any edit counts, not only risk-level changes), not when this site checked.
Attention & markets
Measured against each indicator's own history. Chips flag unusual readings — in either direction.
Military pressurecoming soon
Daily PLA activity around Taiwan, with baselines and history.
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phase 2Prediction markets
Crowd odds from real-money platforms — a collective estimate, not a forecast.